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№ 2020/3
OSTASHKO Tamara Oleksiivna1, KOBUTA Iryna Victorivna2
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
2Markets and Trade Division, Economic and Social Development stream, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Unions
Changes in world trade and trade policy in the time of the COVID-19 pandemic: challenges and opportunities for Ukraine
Economy and forecasting 2020; 3:5-19 | https://doi.org/10.15407/econforecast2020.03.005 |
ABSTRACT ▼
JEL: F13, F14
Article in English (pp. 5 - 19) | Download | Downloads :526 |
REFERENCES ▼
1. WTO DG welcomes G7 leaders’ statement on COVID-19 (2020, March 17). Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/news_e/news20_e/dgra_17mar20_e.htm
2. Trade set to plunge as COVID-19 pandemic upends global economy (2020, April 8). WTO press release. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/news_e/pres20_e /pr855_e.htm
3. Trade Falls Steeply in First Half of 2020 (2020, June 23). Trade Statistics and Outlook. WTO Press Release. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/news_e/pres20_e/ pr858_e.pdf
4. Global Economic Prospects (June 2020). World Bank. Washington, DC. Retrieved from openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/33748
5. OECD Economic Outlook. (2020). Is.1. №107. Retrieved from read.oecd-ilibrary.org/economics/oecd-economic-outlook/volume-2020/issue-1_0d1d1e2e-en#page31
6. Schmidhuber, J. Pound, J. Qiao, B. (2020). COVID-19: Channels of transmission to food and agriculture. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Rome, 2020. Retrieved from www.fao.org/3/ca8430en/CA8430EN.pdf
7. Operational Assessment of GDP (2020, August 14). Express Issue of the State Statistics Service in 2020. URL: www.ukrstat.gov.ua/ [in Ukrainian].
8. Travel & Tourism. Global Economic Impact & Trends 2020. (2020, June). World Travel and Tourism Council. Retrieved from wttc.org/Research/Economic-Impact
9. UNCTAD Commodity Price Bulletin - May 2020 (2020, July 10). Retrieved from unctad.org/en/PublicationsLibrary/gdsdsicpb2020d7_en.pdf
10. AMIS Market Monitor (2020, July). No. 80. Retrieved from www.amis-outlook.org/amis-monitoring
11. Big Tech Could Emerge from Coronavirus Crises Stronger than Ever (2020, March 23). New York Times. Retrieved from www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/big-tech-could-emerge-from-coronavirus-crisis-stronger-than-ever
12. 17 Thousand Settlements do not have any Optical Provider – study of the Mintsyfra (2020, July 30). Retrieved from thedigital.gov.ua/news/17-tisyach-naselenikh-punktiv-ne-mayut-zhodnogo-optichnogo-provaydera-doslidzhennya-mintsifri [in Ukrainian].
13. Future Possibilities Report 2020. Centennial Lab, Ministry of Cabinet Affairs and the Future. UAE. Retrieved from www.un.org/sites/un2.un.org/files/20200720_ un75_uae_futurepossibilitiesreport.pdf
14. COVID-19: Trade and trade-related measures (2020, July 31). Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/covid19_e/trade_related_goods_measure_e.htm
15. Temporarily restricts import of exotic and decorative animals, including insects, arthropods, amphibians, reptiles and other, live fish and hydrobionts from China (2020, February 3). G/SPS/N/RUS/178. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/ covid19_e/covid19_e.htm
16. Temporarily restricts import and transit of live fish and fish products from China (2020, February 28). G/SPS/N/KAZ/59. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/ covid19_e/covid19_e.htm
17. Requiring any importation and/or movement of animals and pets from Hong Kong, China be accompanied with Laboratory test result for COVID-19 (2020, March 20). G/SPS/N/IDN/132. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/covid19_e/ covid19_e.htm
18. Temporary implementation of export licensing requirements on anti-epidemic goods due to the COVID-19 pandemic (2020, March 31). G/MA/QR/N/UKR/4/Add.2. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/covid19_e/covid19_e.htm.
19. Export prohibition to supply the Kyrgyz Republic population with strategic food stuffs and other products (2020, March 24). G/MA/QR/N/KGZ/1/Add.1. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/covid19_e/covid19_e.htm.
20. Due to the global outbreak of COVID-19, temporary export prohibitions were adopted with the aim to prevent the critical shortage of food stuffs (2020, March 30). G/AG/N/THA/107. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/covid19_e/ covid19_e.htm.
21. On amendments to Annex 1 to the Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine of December 24, 2019 № 1109. Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine of April 2 № 260. Retrieved from:zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/260-2020-п#Text [in Ukrainian].
22. Mitigating impacts of COVID-19 on food trade and markets. Joint Statement by QU Dongyu, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus and Roberto Azevedo, Directors-General of FAO, WHO and WTO (2020, March 31). Retrieved from: www.fao.org/news/story/ru/item/1268973/icode/
23. WTO Report Shows Members Moving to Facilitate Imports even as Trade Restrictions Remain High (2020, July 24). WTO. Trade Monitoring. 24. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/news_e/news20_e/trdev_24jul20_e.htm
24. Anderson, K. Ivanic M. Martin, W. (2013, October). Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation, and Poverty. NBER Working Paper, 19530. National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge. doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-6535
25. The Ministry of Economy and the grain market participants agreed on the maximum amount of wheat for export (2020, March 30). Press Service of the Ministry of Economy. Retrieved from: www.me.gov.ua/News/Detail?lang=uk-UA&id=dec6c674-ff93-44b5-bf03-3e7009eb6e65&title=MinekonomikiTaUchasnikiZernovogoRinkuUzgodiliGranichniiObsiagPshenitsiDliaEksportu [in Ukrainian].
26. Demeke, M. Pangrazio, G. Maetz, M. (2009). Country responses to the food security crisis: Nature and Preliminary implications of the policies pursued. Initiative on Soaring Food Prices. FAO, Rome. Retrieved from: www.fao.org/3/a-au717e.pdf
27. Report of the TPRB from the Director-General on Trade-Related Developments (mid-October 2019 to mid-May 2020) (2020, July 10). Annex 1 - Measures Facilitating Trade. Trade Policy Review Body. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/ news_e/news20_e/trdev_24jul20_e.htm
28. Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine "On measures to stabilize prices for goods of significant social significance, anti-epidemic goods" of April 22, 2020 № 341.
Retrieved from: zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/341-2020-п#Text [in Ukrainian].
2. Trade set to plunge as COVID-19 pandemic upends global economy (2020, April 8). WTO press release. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/news_e/pres20_e /pr855_e.htm
3. Trade Falls Steeply in First Half of 2020 (2020, June 23). Trade Statistics and Outlook. WTO Press Release. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/news_e/pres20_e/ pr858_e.pdf
4. Global Economic Prospects (June 2020). World Bank. Washington, DC. Retrieved from openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/33748
5. OECD Economic Outlook. (2020). Is.1. №107. Retrieved from read.oecd-ilibrary.org/economics/oecd-economic-outlook/volume-2020/issue-1_0d1d1e2e-en#page31
6. Schmidhuber, J. Pound, J. Qiao, B. (2020). COVID-19: Channels of transmission to food and agriculture. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Rome, 2020. Retrieved from www.fao.org/3/ca8430en/CA8430EN.pdf
7. Operational Assessment of GDP (2020, August 14). Express Issue of the State Statistics Service in 2020. URL: www.ukrstat.gov.ua/ [in Ukrainian].
8. Travel & Tourism. Global Economic Impact & Trends 2020. (2020, June). World Travel and Tourism Council. Retrieved from wttc.org/Research/Economic-Impact
9. UNCTAD Commodity Price Bulletin - May 2020 (2020, July 10). Retrieved from unctad.org/en/PublicationsLibrary/gdsdsicpb2020d7_en.pdf
10. AMIS Market Monitor (2020, July). No. 80. Retrieved from www.amis-outlook.org/amis-monitoring
11. Big Tech Could Emerge from Coronavirus Crises Stronger than Ever (2020, March 23). New York Times. Retrieved from www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/big-tech-could-emerge-from-coronavirus-crisis-stronger-than-ever
12. 17 Thousand Settlements do not have any Optical Provider – study of the Mintsyfra (2020, July 30). Retrieved from thedigital.gov.ua/news/17-tisyach-naselenikh-punktiv-ne-mayut-zhodnogo-optichnogo-provaydera-doslidzhennya-mintsifri [in Ukrainian].
13. Future Possibilities Report 2020. Centennial Lab, Ministry of Cabinet Affairs and the Future. UAE. Retrieved from www.un.org/sites/un2.un.org/files/20200720_ un75_uae_futurepossibilitiesreport.pdf
14. COVID-19: Trade and trade-related measures (2020, July 31). Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/covid19_e/trade_related_goods_measure_e.htm
15. Temporarily restricts import of exotic and decorative animals, including insects, arthropods, amphibians, reptiles and other, live fish and hydrobionts from China (2020, February 3). G/SPS/N/RUS/178. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/ covid19_e/covid19_e.htm
16. Temporarily restricts import and transit of live fish and fish products from China (2020, February 28). G/SPS/N/KAZ/59. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/ covid19_e/covid19_e.htm
17. Requiring any importation and/or movement of animals and pets from Hong Kong, China be accompanied with Laboratory test result for COVID-19 (2020, March 20). G/SPS/N/IDN/132. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/covid19_e/ covid19_e.htm
18. Temporary implementation of export licensing requirements on anti-epidemic goods due to the COVID-19 pandemic (2020, March 31). G/MA/QR/N/UKR/4/Add.2. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/covid19_e/covid19_e.htm.
19. Export prohibition to supply the Kyrgyz Republic population with strategic food stuffs and other products (2020, March 24). G/MA/QR/N/KGZ/1/Add.1. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/covid19_e/covid19_e.htm.
20. Due to the global outbreak of COVID-19, temporary export prohibitions were adopted with the aim to prevent the critical shortage of food stuffs (2020, March 30). G/AG/N/THA/107. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/covid19_e/ covid19_e.htm.
21. On amendments to Annex 1 to the Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine of December 24, 2019 № 1109. Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine of April 2 № 260. Retrieved from:zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/260-2020-п#Text [in Ukrainian].
22. Mitigating impacts of COVID-19 on food trade and markets. Joint Statement by QU Dongyu, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus and Roberto Azevedo, Directors-General of FAO, WHO and WTO (2020, March 31). Retrieved from: www.fao.org/news/story/ru/item/1268973/icode/
23. WTO Report Shows Members Moving to Facilitate Imports even as Trade Restrictions Remain High (2020, July 24). WTO. Trade Monitoring. 24. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/news_e/news20_e/trdev_24jul20_e.htm
24. Anderson, K. Ivanic M. Martin, W. (2013, October). Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation, and Poverty. NBER Working Paper, 19530. National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge. doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-6535
25. The Ministry of Economy and the grain market participants agreed on the maximum amount of wheat for export (2020, March 30). Press Service of the Ministry of Economy. Retrieved from: www.me.gov.ua/News/Detail?lang=uk-UA&id=dec6c674-ff93-44b5-bf03-3e7009eb6e65&title=MinekonomikiTaUchasnikiZernovogoRinkuUzgodiliGranichniiObsiagPshenitsiDliaEksportu [in Ukrainian].
26. Demeke, M. Pangrazio, G. Maetz, M. (2009). Country responses to the food security crisis: Nature and Preliminary implications of the policies pursued. Initiative on Soaring Food Prices. FAO, Rome. Retrieved from: www.fao.org/3/a-au717e.pdf
27. Report of the TPRB from the Director-General on Trade-Related Developments (mid-October 2019 to mid-May 2020) (2020, July 10). Annex 1 - Measures Facilitating Trade. Trade Policy Review Body. Retrieved from: www.wto.org/english/ news_e/news20_e/trdev_24jul20_e.htm
28. Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine "On measures to stabilize prices for goods of significant social significance, anti-epidemic goods" of April 22, 2020 № 341.
Retrieved from: zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/341-2020-п#Text [in Ukrainian].